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Arizona Chess
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[image: Sometimes, you have to sacrifice pieces to gain the advantage.
Sometimes, to advance ... you have to fall back.]
2 days ago
07 September 2011
Glyph demand - this is as bad as it gets
Today I'm talking about demand instead of supply.
Back in the final days of Northrend, (other) bloggers were worried that the end was comming. Way back then, players would need 6 glyphs (if I recall correctly) per spec - so a total of 12 glyphs. Your average players changed glyphs ... less often than a 8 year old voluntary showers.
Long time scribes remember glyphmas, where we got to have 9 glyphs per spec, and could permanently learn all glyphs (roughly 30 per class). This followed by a boom while everone was getting to 85. We know that generally demand has fallen from those wonderful days. Established, fully glyphed lvl 85 toons simply have no reason to buy new glyphs. But all is not lost.
This graph from MMO champion shows a steady stream of new level 85 characters, that has essentially been stable for 4 months now. Spikes over the weekend, and troughs on Mondays (no one likes Monday). While the graph only shows level 85, to get this level of consistency means that you must have a consistent stream of levelling toons. They also mention a brief dip when 4.2 came out.
Seriously - from a demand perspective, this is as bad as it will get.
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Hohoho sounds like a recession:
ReplyDelete"In economics, a recession is a business cycle contraction, a general slowdown in economic activity." Wikipedia.
The good thing about recessions is its the perfect platform for good operators to shine. This results in weaker operators that do not improve their operations literally hanging themselves.
Having a goal(s) makes sure if your boat sinks, you are swimming in one direction rather than round and round in a circle.
I'm just happy that I know that it won't get any worse.
ReplyDeleteA graph as stable as the one that MMO champion produced means that if you are in a market largely relying on new toons, and you coped with the previous 4 months demand, you will be able to cope with the demand until the next major version of WoW.
Supply is a different story.